However it does make a difference in her overall odds, and this is included in the sheet and in the tables. The chances of a good rune coming from her item TC are very small, and should not be considered for running purposes (meaning don't run countess hoping for her to drop that Lo). This TC can drop up to Lo, whereas the rune TC can only drop up to Ist. One further wrinkle is when countess drops from her ITEM TC, that item CAN be a rune. The nature of these conditional drop attempts is what makes the math so challenging, and the drop calculators so incorrect. This is what makes countess drop more runes on p1 than on p7 (almost double the amount). So if countess successfully drops 5 items, then she will only attempt to drop 1 rune, but if she drops 3 or less items (due to nodrop) then she will attempt to drop 3 runes. She attempts to drop an item 5 times, then attempts to drop a rune UP TO 3 times. The reason it is so difficult is because the countess drops from two TC's: Countess Item, and Countess Rune. The german drop calculator is reasonably close, but still pretty far off. In fact, other than ubeogesh's own spreadsheet, I have not seen correct odds for 1.13b+ anywhere. The countess is particularly interesting when calculating rune drop chances.
RUNE Players 1/2 Players 3/4 Players 5/6 Players 7/8 These tables are also available in the spreadsheet linked above, and perhaps are easier to read in the sheet. More discussion and explanation on this will be in the "Cubing Math" section below.Īnd also, big thank you to ubeogesh (reddit/discord user) who helped me a ton in calculating these, and indeed had come to same direct drop odds before me.
I wanted to expound on this a little further in this sheet as well. Additionally, brought to our attention some of the shortcomings in the methodology previously used for "time to find or cube a rune". But I wanted to generate some tables and post the countess's data separately. The same data is reflected in my general runefinding calculator HERE. But I thought it was still info that I wanted to know, so I calc'd her updated chances, which is an interesting math problem. This is probably because the runes are so bountiful from countess and LK that people either don't care as much about the numbers, or just head to LK. I have seen countess rune drop chances for past versions of the game posted here, but never have seen an update for 1.13b through 1.14d.
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